Philosophy · mathematics · open research

What would
make a difference?

From a broad intuition to checks that can actually rule something out.

Retrodictions as validation Research protocol

A retrodiction reconstructs an already known result from fixed, separate inputs. Knowing the target requires extra discipline against after-the-fact fitting. A successful reconstruction checks the application; additional explanatory power requires comparison with a reference model.

  1. Choose the target and publish which existing information is used as input.
  2. Freeze the model version, assumptions, costs, measure, parameters and dictionary between partial explanations. Keep target data out of the fit.
  3. Fix uncertainty, numerical tolerance, reference model and failure criteria in advance.
  4. Derive what is necessary, free and impossible. Include failed attempts.
  5. Only then compare with the target. If parameters are subsequently adjusted, label the result a fit and test again on other data.
  6. Preserve inputs, code, raw output, date and claim status. Distinguish a calculation check, historical reconstruction and new prediction.

Initial executable retrodiction records Research protocol

These records are mathematical validation examples. They are not new empirical successes or blind tests, since the targets are known.

Historical-revised ε≈1 for discharges is not an established fact here. A test must first specify costs, units, data and uncertainty; a chosen scale is model input.

1. Testing the meta-law and a model Research protocol

The philosophical core alone is not yet an experimental model. If resistance can be adjusted after every outcome, nothing can count against the principle. An application must therefore state in advance which outcomes are less likely or impossible.

A counterexample can refute a mathematical theorem. A measurement can challenge a physical model. These are different kinds of testing; a valid algebraic derivation is not experimental confirmation of EEML.

2. A prediction record Research protocol

A new commitment should contain at least:

  1. The exact model version and all assumptions.
  2. Previously known data and which are used as inputs.
  3. A predicted value or distribution with uncertainties.
  4. A reference model with a differing prediction.
  5. The measurement method, sensitivity and decision rule fixed in advance.
  6. The conclusion affected by a miss and the revision it would require.
  7. A public dated version, source code and data.

3. The earlier register remains Historical-revised

The old site contained over thirty commitments concerning neutrinos, axions, gravitational waves and the absence of new physics, among other topics. That list is not being erased or rewritten as a success. It is archived in full, including its failure criteria, corrections and internal inconsistencies.

As of 16 September 2026 these commitments are not reaffirmed as consequences of the revised core. Their empirical outcomes should still be recorded against their original criteria; this editorial revision does not undo any miss. This page reports no new experimental results.

Complete historical prediction register →

4. Why “no new physics” is insufficient Research protocol

A null result distinguishes models only when the model under study and a relevant competitor assign different expectations to it. The experiment must also be sensitive enough to exclude the effect. Absence of a signal is not the same as absence of a phenomenon.

“Our address then costs more bits” cannot be an unrestricted escape route. The measure and the probability of that outcome must be fixed in advance. A probabilistic prediction allowing rare exceptions needs statistical assessment, not a story selected afterwards.

5. Start with feasible checks Research protocol

The next useful checks are a reproducible comparison of cost functions, a normalisation test on a bounded research domain and checking new proof obligations. Negative results should be published too. Specific physical commitments can then rest on a checkable chain of reasoning.

Current status →
Research aim · consistency

Open Which partial explanations can jointly describe one consistent reality? Investigate what is fixed, free or incompatible. The route to α through K3 remains a focused subquestion.

Reverse engineering through glue →

Reproduction and scope · Example check results

v0.25 · 27 September 2026